Germany Elections Begin, Polls Indicate Shift to the Right

Germany Elections Begin, Polls Indicate Shift to the Right

Germany's national elections began on Sunday, with Friedrich Merz's CDU/CSU alliance expected to gain the lead. Meanwhile, the far-right party Alternative for Germany (AfD) is projected to achieve its best-ever performance.

However, due to Germany's fragmented political landscape, it seems unlikely for the CDU/CSU to secure an absolute majority, forcing them to seek coalition partners.

Migration and Economy: Major Challenges

This election campaign has exposed deep divisions over migration and how to address parties like the AfD. Given Germany's sensitive history with far-right politics from the Nazi era, this election holds even greater significance.

If no clear majority emerges, Chancellor Olaf Scholz may remain in office as a caretaker for an extended period, delaying crucial economic policies. Germany is already struggling after two consecutive years of economic contraction and rising global competition.

Leadership Crisis for Europe

The election outcome could also impact Europe's leadership, especially with former U.S. President Donald Trump's trade war threats and efforts to broker a Ukraine ceasefire without European involvement.

Rising Insecurity and Public Discontent

Economic challenges are fueling frustration among Germans. According to a Gallup survey, only 27% of people now believe their living standards are improving, compared to 42% in 2023.

Hardening Stance on Migration

The welcoming stance towards refugees seen during the 2015 migrant crisis has drastically shifted. The public now demands stricter migration policies, benefiting far-right parties like the AfD.

60 Million Voters to Decide

Polling stations opened at 0800 local time (0700 GMT) and will close at 1800 (1700 GMT), followed by vote counting and exit poll announcements. Around 60 million Germans are eligible to vote in this crucial election.

The results of Germany's election will not only shape the nation's future but also have significant implications for Europe's political landscape.